| Stock (Symbol) | Stock Price | |
Noah Holdings (NOAH) |
$22 |
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| Data is as of | Expected to Report | Sector |
March 23, 2015 |
N/A |
Financial |
| Sharek’s Take | ||
 Analysts have no qtrly earnings estimates for Noah Holdings. So for now we are driving blind. But the outlook is bright over the long-term, with 26% revenue growth expected this year and 41% in 2016. Another plus is the estimated long-term profit growth rate is a robust 34%. For 2015 analysts project 12% profit growth but the company just said its expects 16% to 22% growth for the year. With a 14 P/E NOAH is inexpensive, the stock has also been trending up of late and is timely. I feel this $22 stock is worth $26 and think NOAH is a good investment for the long-run, but am cautious when I don’t have qtrly estimates to look at. |
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| One-Year Chart | ||
 Here’s NOAH’s one-year chart. Profit growth of just 4% looks to be a one-quarter thing. I love the Est LTG of 34%, especially considering the P/E of just 14. |
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| Earnings Table | ||
 Noah’s revenue jumped 39% but profits increased just 4%. I think the slow profit growth was an anomaly.The company beat the street by a penny last quarter, after missing by a penny the qtr before. Annual Profit Estimates didn’t budge and I only have 2015 estimates. There’s no estimated quarterly profit growth to speak of. |
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| Fair Value | ||
 I feel this stock is a good value at 14x earnings estimates. I think the P/E should be 17, which would rise the stock some, but the real growth is if annual profits continue to climb as they have been. |
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| Ten-Year Chart | ||
 Noah’s been a little volatile but now the chart has turned up and looks bullish. |
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| Power Ranking | Bottom Line | |
Growth Portfolio
14 of 22 |
Noah Holdings is certainly doing an admirable job gaining new assets, but this small cap stock needs more analysts covering it to garner more attention. NOAH is a small position for me, but one I like as a buy-and-hold investment that could pay off handsomely. NOAH ranks 14th of 22 stocks in the Growth Portfolio Power Rankings. If I could get qtrly estimates I would consider it for the Aggressive Growth Portfolio. |
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Aggressive Growth Portfolio
N/A |
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