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Exiting Hypergrowth

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Michael Kors (KORS)

$72

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

November 7, 2014

Feb 02 – Feb 06

Retail & Travel

Sharek’s Take
David SharekMichael Kors is taking some flack because the company has same store sales growth slow from 24% to 16% last qtr, the lowest I think I’ve seen since the company went public. The stock’s around its 52-week low, but I feel it’s a real value and could bounce back like a rubber band. The company still had 41% profit growth last qtr and the stock has a P/E of only 17 (on 2015 est). I think the company will have 25% to 30% profit growth next year and my 2015 Fair Value is $96. The stock has to potential to gain 54% by 2016. The company is also buying back $1 billion of its stock.
One-Year Chart
KORS_2014_Q4The stock hasn’t done good this year even though profits have zoomed higher. But KORS used to be a 60% grower that slowed to 40%, and maybe 25% next year. We’ll see. Still, what a bargain at 17 times earnings, I think the negativity is overdone.
Earnings Table
KORS_2014_Q4_EPSProfits grew 41% as sales grew 43% for the second straight quarter. Sales are expected to climb just 28% this quarter.
 
KORS beat the street by 12 cents but still the stock went down 8% after the company reported earnings.
 
Annual Profit Estimates continue to grow.
 
Quarterly profits are expected to grow 21% in each of the next two quarters. I think KORS will beat these estimates, and have 25% to 30% growth.
Fair Value
KORS_2014_Q4_PHEverybody is down on this stock, but that happens when a stock exits hypergrowth. Lots of funds only invest in the fastest growers and now that KORS is slowing down they are bailing on the stock. Still, upside is good.
Ten-Year Chart
KORS_2014_Q4_10yrThis stock is still trending up in the ten-year view. Nice annual profit growth. I think this stock should be appreciated more.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

9 of 22

Michael Kors is saying its being hurt by slower mall traffic, but either way growth is good and the stock should be higher. Maybe we get a bounce back after Christmas.
 
Michael Kors is ranked 9th in the 22 stock Growth Portfolio and 11 stock Aggressive Growth Portfolio Power Rankings
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Aggressive Growth Portfolio

9 of 12

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