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Thanks for the Money Honey

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH)

$84

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

October 3, 2013

 Nov 4 – Nov 8

Technology

Sharek’s Take
David SharekCognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH) has gone on a nice run, and now I think its time to take profits. When I bought CTSH on 5/1/13 for $64 I thought the stock would get to $80, for a gain of 25%. Now with the stock past $84 (it’s $87 today, October 15th), CTSH has limited upside. Investors can sell half their position in CTSH, and sell the entire position if you follow the Aggressive Growth Portfolio.
One-Year Chart

CTSH_2013_Q3In this chart, CTSH has a P/E of 21 yet profit growth is expected to be only 11% and 14% the next two quarters. The company hasn’t really been beating the street, so I think CTSH might only have 15% or so profit growth the next six months. At 21 times earnings, the stock is not on sale.

Earnings Table

CTSH_2013_Q3_EPSProfits increases 21% last quarter as revenue increased 20%. Those are solid figures.

CTSH beat the street by 2 cents, but had only beating by a total of a penny the prior two quarters.

Annual Profit Estimates look mixed. I don’t see this being a top-tier growth stock.

Quarterly estimates show high-teens growth coming. I’m not that excited about these figures.

Fair Value
CTSH_2013_Q3_PHI’ve owned CTSH on and off since January 2004. CTSH used to ba worth 45 times earnings when profits were growing 45%. Now with high-teens profit growth the stock is worth 18 times earnings. I feel CTSH is a little high here.
Ten-Year Chart
CTSH_2013_Q3_10yrThis has been one of the top stocks to invest in during the past decade. The profit growth is higher than the stock growth because CTSH isn’t worth 45 times earnings as it was a decade ago.
60% in Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

19 of 25

Cognizant Technology Solutions has made us more than 15% and upside is limited at this point. Now is a good time to take profits.

CTSH is ranked 19th of 25 stocks in the Growth Portfolio Power Rankings and has been/will be sold from Aggressive Growth Portfolios.
Aggressive Growth Portfolio

N/A

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