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Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH)

$103

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

February 28, 2014

May 5 – May 9

Technology

Sharek’s Take
David SharekCognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH) should have accelerated profit growth throughout 2014. CTSH is a 20% grower, but had been growing profits 15% the past two quarters. Estimates now show profit growth of 22% and 20% the next two quarters, and the company usually beats by a little. What’s fueling the growth is a stronger Europe, which has 32% revenue growth last qtr (vs 18% in North America). I’m takaing my Fair Value P/E on CTSH up from 21 to 23. This buy-and-hold 20% grower has decent upside for investors who are willing to hold till 2015.
One-Year Chart

CTSH_2014_Q1CTSH has had a good run. I’ve owned it on-and-off since 2004. recently bought it back at $64 in May 2013. The stock’s close to being fairly valued here, if I didn’t own it I would wait for a better entry point.

Earnings Table

CTSH_2014_Q1_EPSRevenue grew 21% last quarter, but profits increased only 15%. Going forward these figures should be slightly over 20%.
 
CTSH beat by a penny and usually beats by a little.
 
Annual Profit Estimates increased, especially 2014’s. There’s good momentum here.
 
Quarterly estimates show 20% growth should be the least CTSH can do next year, and these figures have been increasing each quarter — good.

Fair Value
CTSH_2014_Q1_PHAlthough business is good, this stock is within 10% of its 2014 Fair Value. Theres’ good upside to 2015 so right now this is more of a buy-and-hold stock as I don’t see CTSH gaining much this year.
Ten-Year Chart
CTSH_2014_Q1_10yrThis stock used to be my #1 holding around a decade ago. It would deliver 40% to 60% profit growth each quarter — and the stock would go up that much each year.
60% in Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

25 of 26

Cognizant Technology Solutions should see solid 20% profit growth this year, and is considered to be a stock that can compound at 20% a year into the future. But with 2014 upside of only 9%, this stock doesn’t rank high on my Power Rankings.
 
CTSH is ranked 25th of 26 stocks in the Growth Portfolio Power Rankings and is not a fit for the Aggressive Growth Portfolio right now.
Aggressive Growth Portfolio

N/A

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