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Giving the European Crisis a Stiffarm

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Cognizant Tech. Solutions (CTSH)

$71

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

February 15, 2012

May 3

Technology

Sharek’s Take
David SharekCognizant Technology Solutions keeps delivering results even as Europe goes through a crisis. Infosys (INFY), another Indian IT outsourcer, cut 2012 guidance due to weakness in Europe. I’m sure the European crisis is causing companies to hold-back on signing new deals or extensions — especially banks. 10% of CTSH’s business comes from the Financial sector and 20% comes from Europe (as of 12/31/2010, Source: Thomson). Still, CTSH came through with a stolid (if unspectacular) quarter — and did not lower guidance. 
 
CTSH is slightly undervalued, but should be more appreciated for its consistency. I’ve owned this stock on-and-off since early 2004. The company is a 20% grower over the long term. Those stocks are hard to find — and deserve to be cherished.
One-Year Chart
The one-year chart is kinda bland. Nothing going on. CTSH got a little ahead of itself a year ago and has had to digest gains.
 
The P/E of 21 is low because I think this 20% grower is worth at least a 25 P/E due to its consistency.
Earnings Table
Profits rose 18% last quarter on a 27% increase in revenue.
 
CTSH only beat by a penny, but that was good news after INFY’s lowered guidance.
 
Annual Profit Estimates increased slightly. Nothing to look at here. Profits expected to rise 21% this year and 19% next — there’s your 20% growth.
 
Quarterly estimates show profit growth of more than 20% for the next four quarters. CTSH usually beats by a little, so 23% growth could be coming.
Fair Value
This stock’s worth 25 times earnings. It’s 20% under 2012’s Fair Value. Additionally, CTSH is a great buy-and-hold.
Ten-Year Chart
I’ve owned CTSH since 1/5/2004 ($12). In 2005 and 2006 it was one of my largest holdings as it ran to $45 by 4/2007. I took profits along the way and eventually sold CTSH at $17 on 12/29/08.
 
CTSH then raced to $59 by 8/12/10 and I bought back in. I sold the position at $78 on 4/18/11 because the stock was fully valued. In round three I’m back in at $64.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

9 of 19

Cognizant Technology Solutions is performing well through the Euopean crisis and is set to deliver on 20% profit growth and 20% stock growth this year.
 
CTSH is ranked 9th in the 19 stock Growth Portfolio Power Rankings. This stock is a candidate for the Aggressive Growth Portfolio.
Aggressive Growth Portfolio

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