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Dropping Like A Rock

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

CaesarStone (CSTE)

$51

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

August 14, 2015

Nov 3 – Nov 9

Retail & Travel

Sharek’s Take
CaesarStone (CSTE) recently dropped from $70 to $50 after it reported earnings due to slowing demand from the US and foreign exchange rates. Then today a short seller published a negative research report outlining how (1) CeaserStone will have cost pressure from rising quartz costs (2) the countertops CSTE is producing doesnt’ have 93% quartz but 88-89% (3) the quality of the product isn’t premium as represented but instead poor and prone to chipping and staining, with the only product worse being a low-cost company in China. That was just half of it. This CaesarStone store in California gets a poor rating of 1.5 stars out of 5. Now the stock is down $5.50 to $42.50 and I don’t feel CSTE has hit a bottom yet. Even if it has it will be months if not years for the company to prove itself again. I like CaesarStone but the company needs to work through this negative PR issue at a time when US demand has fallen. I’ll sell the stock from the Growth Portfolio today and wait for the dust to settle before attempting to get back in.
Just One-Year Chart
CSTE_2015_Q3This chart was done before today’s drop. Estimates show slowing profit growth, which is a sell signal for me.
Earnings Table
CSTE_2015_Q3_EPSSales grew 10% as profit growth was 12%. CSTE management had been lowering profit estimates, yet the stock was still going higher.
 
CSTE beat by 3 cents last qtr, but warned for future qtrs.
 
Annual Profit Estimates declined.
 
Qtrly growth doesn’t look to pick up until 2016. We’ll see if these figures fall too.
Fair Value
CSTE_2015_Q3_PHThe stocks got upside to $53 if it wasn’t faced with all these issues. Good upside to 2016 too.
Ten-Year Chart
CSTE_2015_Q3_10yrThis was a great looking ten-year chart as well.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

N/A

CaesarStone just opened its Georgia plant to manufacture in the US, then said demand here is slowing. The company also has issues with quality it needs to address.
 
CSTE will be sold from the Growth Portfolio today

Aggressive Growth Portfolio

N/A

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