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Shift Your Focus from Alibaba to YY

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

YY (YY)

$90

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

August 27, 2014

Nov 04 – Nov 10

Technology

Sharek’s Take
David SharekToday is Alibaba’s IPO, and while all the attention (and $) is flowing that way, investors should be instead looking at YY. YY is the MySpace/Facebook of China, and while shares of Alibaba are skying higher before the open, YY remain undervalued. Expected earnings growth of 67% this year (and that number is rising) at 32 times earnings make this stock a better bargain. I bought YY at $50 last September and it was $90 when this data was compiled. The stock is $79 today as it sold off, probably because funds needed money to buy Alibaba shares. I think YY is worth $152 this year, and $216 next year, and its unknown as to whether Alibaba will be overvalued or not when it opens for trading shortly. YY has an estimated long-term growth rate of 89% per year, and to get that at around 30x earnings is a much better deal than hopping on the Alibaba bandwagon and paying more than 32% over the $68 IPO price. 
One-Year Chart
YY_2014_Q3This data is from 8/27 when YY was $90. Today, 9/19, the stock is $79. So as of now, the P/E is just 29 — maybe half Alibaba’s P/E. I love how profits have been more than doubling each quarter. The Est. LTG just jumped from 35% to 89%, the highest of any stock I can remember. This is a great stock.
Earnings Table
YY_2014_Q3_EPSProfits doubled last quarter as sales increased 103%.
 
YY crushed analyst estimates, which had increased in the previous three qtrs. Wow, this is a money machine.

 
Annual Profit Estimates really jumped this qtr. There’s no telling what YY will make in the future, and stocks like that usually get P/Es of 60 or more.

 
Estimates for the next four quarters are very sound, and all quarters just got big increases. Shift your focus from Alibaba to YY. We know what we’re getting here.
Fair Value
YY_2014_Q3_PHI think YY’s P/E should at least be 50. At a Fair Value of 55 times earnings this stock is worth $152, around double where it’s selling. I bet funds sold other Chinese shares to have money to purchase Alibaba, and that’s made stocks like YY a bargain.
Ten-Year Chart
YY_2014_Q3_10yrYY had a severe correction which shook out weak shareholders. Now the stock is free to climb again. Notice how profits have gone from $0.61 two years ago to an expected $2.77 this year — and that number continues to rise.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

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YY has sold off from $90 to $79 just since these charts were created just last month. I think that’s created tremendous upside for a company that’s expanding exponentially. YY is a growth stock at a bargain price, and has huge upside. My money says YY outperforms Alibiba during the next year.
 
YY is ranked 2nd in the 24 stock Growth Portfolio
Power Rankings and 11 stock Aggressive Growth Portfolio Power Rankings. Only Facebook is ranked higher, due to a higher degree of safety.

Aggressive Growth Portfolio

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