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Tremendous Upside

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

YY (YY)

$62

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

May 28, 2014

Jul 28 – Aug 1

Technology

Sharek’s Take
David SharekI feel YY is a combination of a Facebook/MySpace, and gives us a legitimate player in China’s social media market. Here’s some impressive stats from last qtr:

  • Total Revenue of $107 million +112%
  • Online Music $62 million +228%
  • Online Games $29 million + 36%
  • Membership Program $7 million +54%
  • Live Game Broadcasting $4 million +630%
  • Online Advertising $4 million -25%

Since last quarter YY’s P/E has dropped from 33 to 26, and the stock has the most upside to its Fair Value — 75% — of any stock I own. It’s also buying back $100 million in stock, and the market cap is only $2.1 billion. The only negatives are the company could have beaten the street by more, and upped estimates more.

One-Year Chart
YY_2014_Q2This chart looks great. I love the correction, now the stock seems to be building a cup. Profits are growing at triple-digit rates yet the P/E is only 26. The Est. LTG dropped from 46% to 35% this qtr. Look at profits since 2012, from $0.61 to maybe $2.39.
Earnings Table
YY_2014_Q2_EPSRevenue and profits more than doubled. Sales increased 112% and profits surged 143%.
 
YY did beat the street by 7 cents, but it had been beating by 14 to 16 cents a quarter. That’s slowing momentum.

 
Annual Profit Estimates only edged higher after surging a quarter earlier.
 
The company expects revenue growth of 82% to 85% next quarter. Triple digit profit growth could also continue into next qtr.
Fair Value
YY_2014_Q2_PHIt’s really mind-boggling this stock hasn’t gotten a higher P/E since it went public in 2012. I think profits are soaring so fast that its hard for the stock to keep up. 75% upside to 2014’s Fair Value, 145% upside to 2015’s.
Ten-Year Chart
YY_2014_Q2_10yrThis stock needed a correction. Last quarter I complained the stock went parabolic. Now the trendline looks normal. I think YY is free to go on another run now.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

7 of 25

YY gives us an investment in a rapidly growing, highly profitable social media company in China. You get triple-digit growth for only 26 times earnings. This stock has the most upside to its Fair Value of any I own. The only negative is estimates could have gone higher.
 
YY is ranked 7th in the 25 stock Growth Portfolio
Power Rankings and 12 stock Aggressive Growth Portfolio Power Rankings.

Aggressive Growth Portfolio

7 of 12

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