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Stocks Extend Rally to Another Record Closing

The stock market gained on Monday due to optimism on resilient economy and a possible start of a rate cut this year. Investors are awaiting May retail sales data, as well as home sales and housing starts data, which will be out on Tuesday and Thursday, respectively.

Overall, S&P 500 rose 0.8% to 5,473, while NASDAQ increased 1.0% to 17,857.

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Chart of the Day

Here is the one-year chart of Tractor Supply (TSCO) as of May 14, 2024, when the stock was at $275.

Tractor Supply had nice sales growth when inflation was high years ago. Now, with tame inflation, the company is having a tough time growing profits in a soft economy. It reported 11% profit growth last quarter on 3% sales growth as same-store sales grew just 1%. Management stated that they just lapped its two most challenging quarterly comparisons, which should mean better times ahead. Instead, quarterly profit estimates are 3% profit growth next quarter and -4% the quarter after that. That’s weak. In addition, the stock has a lofty P/E of 26. David Sharek, Founder of School of Hard Stocks, thinks that P/E should be 22, and he feels the stock is overvalued by 17%.

TSCO is on the radar for the Conservative Growth Portfolio.

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