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Good Growth Coming

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Portfolio Recovery Assoc. (PRAA)

$58

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

August 22, 2013

Oct 28 – Nov 03

Finance

Sharek’s Take
David SharekPortfolio Recovery Associates stock isn’t doing much, but its got some good things coming, such as 30% profit growth three and four qtrs from now. The bad debt collection company recently purchased Aktiv Capital, a bad-loan recovery company in Norway, and this will hurt profits thru next qtr but help boost profits after. In fact revenue growth is expected to climb this qtr from 8% to 29%. PRAA should have a P/E of 17, but right now its only 15. The stock’s 16% undervalued and has 41% upside to 2015’s Fair Value. I also think once it makes up for this lost ground it will continue to compound at 17% a year long-term.
One-Year Chart
PRAA_2014_Q3Don’t be concerned with the +2% profit growth last quarter, PRAA needed to take a step back to tak two steps forward. Instead focus on the Annual Profits. Other than the recession years, growth has been good as profit have jumped from $1 to $4 in just seven years.
Earnings Table
PRAA_2014_Q3_EPSProfits only increased 2% last qtr, on an 8% rise in sales. Sales are expected to climb 29% next qtr.
 
PRAA missed estimates by three cents for the 2nd straight qtr, but it’s not a big deal.
 
Annual Profit Estimates for 2015 increased a bit.
 
Quarterly profit growth is set to soar within two-or-three quarters.
Fair Value
PRAA_2014_Q3_PHPRAA used to get a P/E of 17 five-to-ten years ago. I think it deserves one now as well. The P/E came down during the recession due to concerns people wouldn’t pay their debts. But profit growth is good again, this stock should be higher.
Ten-Year Chart
PRAA_2014_Q3_10yrOverall this has been a solid stock to own if you look at the big picture. Sure returns haven’t been consistent, but the stock’s compounded at 20% a year.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

12 of 25

Portfolio Recovery Associates might not gain momentum for another quarter or two, but once it does I think the stock will make a nice move higher.
 

PRAA
is ranked 17th in the 25 stock Growth Portfolio Power Rankings and 12th in the 12 stock Aggressive Growth Portfolio Power Rankings.
Aggressive Growth Portfolio

11 of 12

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