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Priceless

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Priceline.com (PCLN)

$814

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

May 20, 2013

Aug 5 – Aug 12

Retail & Travel

Sharek’s Take
David SharekThe affect of Priceline.com (PCLN) on our portfolios has been priceless. Originally purchased at $29 in 2006 (I sold at $83 then bought back at $105), PCLN is now $814 a share. Still, even with those gains the stock is still undervalued by 30%. The only negative is PCLN isn’t the 40% to 60% grower like it was most of the decade, but its still gowing around 30% per year. This is a top holding in all my portfolios.
One-Year Chart
PCLN_2013_Q2PCLN recently broke out into new All-Time high territory. But even after the move, the stock still sits at only 21 times earnings. In fact, the median P/E was 20 in 2012  and 2011. This stock deserves more respect, I think the P/E should be 27.
Earnings Table
PCLN_2013_Q2_EPSRevenue plowed ahead 26% last quarter. International bookings — where the growth is — rose 43%. U.S. bookings increased 9%. Profit surged 35%.

Priceline crushed earnings estimates by 48 cents, this sent the stock into a breakout and good rise after (which the stock has held).
 
Annual Profit Estimates
increased some.

Since PCLN is beating the street, I think 30% profit growth is achievable in each of the next four quarters.

Fair Value
PCLN_2013_Q2_FVPCLN shouldn’t have a 21 P/E, its should be 27. This stock is undervalued by 30%.
Ten-Year Chart
PCLN_2013_Q2_10yrWhat an amazing chart. Note profits have grown 57% per year and the stock’s increased 42% per year. Those two numbers should be more even, PCLN stock has some catching up to do.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

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Priceline continues to kill it. The stock is at all-time highs, but still has room to run. I feel it will someday make a move from 20-21 times earnings to 27 times. PCLN had a 27 P/E in April 2011. If that happens again soon, the stock will be over $1000.

PCLN is ranked 2nd in the 17 stock Growth Portfolio and 10 stock Aggressive Growth Portfolio
Power Rankings.

Aggressive Growth Portfolio

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