fbpx

Big Time Move

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Priceline.com (PCLN)

$640

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

March 7, 2012

May 7

Retail & Travel

Sharek’s Take
David Sharek

Priceline.com’s (PCLN) made a big time move so far in 2012 — jumping 34% from $475 to $640. Although that makes the stock seem high, the stock still only has a P/E of 21 and has lots of upside left.

Strength in hotels lead the way last quarter (up 53%), followed by car rentals (+34%) and airfare (+6%). International sales continue to explode — up 63% for the quarter.

One-Year Chart
The reason the stock is up so much since last quarter is PCLN’s P/E has gone from 16 to 21. I feel a 25 P/E is reasonable this year. The problem now is the stock’s been on a parabolic move, and will be susceptible to a swing down if profit taking sets in.
 
PCLN’s estimated Long Term Growth Rate just dropped from 29% last quarter to 23% now. It shouldn’t have.
Earnings Table
Profit growth slowed a bit last quarter — from 87% 2QtrsAgo to 58% LastQtrSales rose 35%, compared to 45% the quarter earlier.
 
PCLN beat the street by 32 cents and is on a roll beating estimates.
 
Annual Profit Estimates rose a fairly good amount.
 
Quarterly estimates look awesome — and these numbers keep growing and growing. 50% profit growth could be coming in 2012.
Fair Value
I feel PCLN should get a P/E of 35 and remains extremely undervalued.
Ten-Year Chart
Priceline stock hit an All-Time High this year. The stock was up here in the clouds back in the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s. Now time has erased that prior high from the chart.
 
Profits have grown 63%the past ten years, but the stock hasn’t. PCLN has some catching up to do.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

3 of 19

Priceline looks amazing but I feel the stock could be due for a slight correction after the parabolic move. I’m thinking of loading up if the stock gets down to $550. I wouldn’t sell any shares here cuz the stock could be headed for $750.
 

PCLN is ranked 3rd in the 19 stock Growth Portfolio and 9 stock Aggressive Growth Portfolio
Power Rankings. Apple (AAPL) comtinues to hold onto #1 and Baidu.com (BIDU) is #2 because it hasn’t gone parabolic in a while.
Aggressive Growth Portfolio

3 of 9

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Not a member? Sign up here for $25 a month.