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Wow! What a Bargain!

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Joy Global (JOY)

$76

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

March 21, 2012

Jun 7

Energy & Commodities

Sharek’s Take
David SharekToday I will purchase Joy Global (JOY) for my Growth Portfolio. Joy Global makes the machines that dig for coal. It makes mining equipment. The data for this article was done on 3/21 when the stock was $76, I’ll buy JOY today (4/24) around $72.
 
JOY stock is one of the best values in the stock market right now. The stock is selling for 10 times earnings and is worth 15 times earnings — at least. Maybe 20 times.
One-Year Chart
Yes, JOY isn’t timely. Fears that China’s steel output is slowing is putting a damper on these shares. Still, profits are good. P/E is way too low. 
  
I’m buying into JOY at the bottom of the range. I think this is the cheapest I can get this stock at.
Earnings Table

Profit groth has been substantial the past four quarters. Sales were up 30% last quarter. Yes, this stock has a P/E of only 10.
 
JOY missed estimates be a little in each of the last two quarters. But overall the earnings table is green.
 
Annual Profit Estimates have been rising all year. 2012 is expected to be a slow year for the company according to management. But estimates are rising — a lot — this is good.
 
Quarterly estimates look great! They are going up every quarter too. This is a good stock!

Fair Value
Look at the substantial upside potential this stock has. This is one of the best bargains in the market.
Ten-Year Chart
JOY stock has been one of the best stocks for the last ten years. In 2002 and 2003 Joy Global was a young company, a recent IPO. So the P/E was high. Here’s JOY’s P/E during notable years:
2005 19
2006 21
2007 20
2008 16
2010 14
2011 14
So with a P/E of 10, its easy to think this stock should be higher.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

9 of 18

Joy Global is a great stock at a real bargain. I think this stock can move significatly higher the next three years. The trouble right now is demand is soft in 2012.
 
JOY is ranked 9th of 18 stocks in the Growth Portfolio Power Rankings. Since this stock is not timely, I’m not going to put it in the Aggressive Growth Portfolio now.
Aggressive Growth Portfolio

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