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Such a Sound Investment

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

GNC Holdings (GNC)

$60

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

November 6, 2013

Feb 2 – Feb 14

Food & Necessities

Sharek’s Take
David SharekGNC (GNC) is such a sound investment. Company management is some of the best in the business. Profits are split three ways: to pay a dividend, to buy back stock, and to open new locations. The stock’s capable of delivering 20% annual growth and is selling for only 17 times earnings. I see investors warming up to GNC shares and pushing the P/E to 23 in 2014. There’s solid upside in this sound investment.
One-Year Chart
GNC_2013_Q4GNC shares have almost doubled in the last year, but the stock’s not extended here. GNC’s P/E was only 13 a year ago, and that was too cheap. I love the fact this stock has a P/E of only 17 yet profit growth should hit 30% the next couple of quarters.
Earnings Table
GNC_2013_Q4_EPSProfit’s increased 25% last quarter on only a 9% increase in sales. That’s the second straight quarter of 9% sales growth.GNC only met earnings estimates, but that was fine because profit growth was a solid 25%.

Annual Profit Estimates edged ahead slightly.

GNC’s customer reward program Member Price continues boost profits. Quarterly growth looks great for the next year, and I think this will push up GNC’s P/E.

Fair Value
GNC_2013_Q4_PHGNC is selling for 21 times 2013 earnings, but only 17 times next year’s earnings. I see the P/E rising to 23 and that gives the stock good upside for 2014.
Ten-Year Chart
GNC_2013_Q4_10yrThis ten-year chart shows a stock that’s a bit extended. But I think that’s because GNC had a P/E of only 13 a year ago and the stock had some catching up to do.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

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For the past month or so I was high on Chinese Internet stocks. Now that the Chinese stocks have risen, I feel sound investments like GNC are safer investments. 34% upside for 2014 is great considering GNC is such a stable company.

GNC is ranked 4th in both the Growth Portfolio and Aggressive Growth Portfolio Power Rankings.
Aggressive Growth Portfolio

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