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On a Dip

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Catamaran (CTRX)

$48

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

November 11, 2013

Feb 24 – Feb 28

Healthcare

Sharek’s Take
David SharekCatamaran (CTRX) has been basing this year, and it really needed to. The stock went from $28 to $47 last year and had gotten ahead of itself. Now with CTRX at $48, the stock’s ready to make a big jump in 2014. CTRX has grown profit ten-fold since 2006 and has shown it can be a 30% grower (with acquisitions and new business). Catamaran’s P/E is only 20 and I feel it should be 30, there’s upside of greater than 50%.
One-Year Chart
CTRX_2013_Q4This is a good buying opportunity with the shares under $50. Profit growth was high the last four quarters because of merger savings. The P/E of 20 is good compared with the Est. Long Term Growth Rate of 27%.
Earnings Table
CTRX_2013_Q4_EPSProfits jumped 108% last quarter due to the Catalyst merger. Sales increased 13% year over year.

CTRX beat the street by 4 cents, but investors weren’t that impressed.

Annual Profit Estimates increased a bit. This Earnings Table is boring.

Quarterly estimates look good for the next two quarters, but after that don’t look great. CTRX at 20 times earnings can live with 18% profit growth, but for the stock to really rise wer need to see 25% growth or better.

Fair Value
CTRX_2013_Q4_PHThere’s excellent upside in these shares. Prehaps I’m getting ahead of myself with the estimates P/E of 30, I may adjust it down to 25 next quarter. CTRX makes a lot of acquisitions, it could do so next year and that would help profits.
Ten-Year Chart
CTRX_2013_Q4_10yrI love this ten-year chart. Clearly the stock is on a dip here, it’s also hitting support levels.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

16 of 25

As I mentioned last quarter: Catamaran is digesting its gains from 2012 and will be ready to make another move higher come 2014. There’s solid upside for these shares, but no real catalyst to push it higher in the near-term.

CTRX is ranked 16th of 25 stocks in the Growth Portfolio Power Rankings. This stock isn’t in the Aggressive Growth Portfolio.
Aggressive Growth Portfolio

N/A

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