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Great Estimates

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Catamaran (CTRX)

$62

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

March 18, 2013

April 29

Healthcare

Sharek’s Take
David SharekCatamaran (CTRX) is going through an explosive growth phase as profit growth should be at least 50% four straight quarters. Catalyst Health Solutions (CHSI) and SXC Health Solutions (SXCI) were merged to create Catamaran and both stocks popped after the news. The sudden rush took the P/E to 44 in 2012 Q3. Now CTRX has a P/E of 28, and the stock is a good deal. This is a good time to buy CTRX, I think investors will be rewarded over the next two years.
One-Year Chart
CTRX_2013_Q1Profit growth already started to accelerate last quarter, and estimates of 58% and 76% look solid the next two quarters. This stock had a P/E in the 30s and 40s last year, the currrent P/E of 28 is nice and juicy. Look at 2013 profits (right) compared to 2012 — 54% growth!
Earnings Table
CTRX_2013_Q1_EPSLast quarter, sales rose 139% because the two companies merged together. EPS growth was 63%.
 
CTRX beat by 5 cents, but the stock fell after earnings because the company lowered 2013 guidance from $1.91 to $1.81-$1.88.
 
These estimates show $1.84, which is above the $1.81 from last quarter. In my book estimates increased, and some analysts just got a little bullish in the middle of last quarter.
 
Quarterly estimates look great, explosive growth should continue three more quarters.
Fair Value
CTRX_2013_Q1_FVCTRX has upside to Fair Value of 25% for 2013 and 59% for 2014.
Ten-Year Chart
CTRX_2013_Q1_10yrThis chart is really the history of SXCI. CHSI wasn’t as fast of a grower, and maybe that’s good for us that SXCI has acquired CHSI. This is a stock you want to hang onto, this stock is on a steep trend higher.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

7 of 14

I love CTRX for the Growth Portfolio. Even though growth looks great for the next three months, I just don’t feel CTRX is timely enough for the Aggressive Growth Portfolio.
 
CTRX is ranked 7 of 14 in the Growth Portfolio Power Rankings. I will consider it for Aggressive Growth Portfolio, but really want something to push me over the edge and make me buy it for this portfolio.
Aggressive Growth Portfolio

N/A

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