fbpx

On the Comeback Trail

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Express Scripts (ESRX)

$60

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

March 18, 2013

Feb 6

Healthcare

Sharek’s Take
David SharekExpress Scripts has rebounded nicely from its dip last Fall. The stock fell because management said synergies from the Medco merger would be realized more in 2012 than 2013, thus 2013 estimates came down. Now the the stock is moving up — and its also a solid value, selling at 14 times earnings. Although I think momentum will slow, I’m looking to increase my stake in this conservative growth stock. I think in a year the stock will be a lot higher.
One-Year Chart

ESRX_2013_Q1Although the stock’s gone up a bunch, ESRX’s P/E has only risen from 13 to 14 since last quarter, when the stock was $54. I want to point out during the past three quarters, profit growth has been above average. That should continue one more quarter.

Earnings Table
ESRX_2013_Q1_EPSSales increased 125% last quarter because of the added business from Medco. Profit growth was 28%.
 
ESRX met earnings estimates.
  
Annual Profit Estimates ticked higher. This is good because estimates fell last quarter.

Quarterly estimates show growth could slow some three quarters out. That’s when comparisons to 2012 start to get tough.
Fair Value
ESRX_2013_Q1_FVI feel ESRX is working its way back to 18 times earnings. There’s substantial upside here.
Ten-Year Chart
ESRX_2013_Q1_10yrExpress Scripts is one of my all-time favorite investments. I’ve owned the stock for more than a decade, and it’s always on a trend higher when I look at the ten-year chart.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

4 of 14

ESRX is a great buy right now. The stock’s P/E is 14 and should be 18. The stock’s timely and seems to be headed north. There’s solid long-term upside here.
 
ESRX ranks 4th in the 14 stock Growth Portfolio Power Rankings and 5th in the 8 stock Aggressive Growth Portfolio Power Rankings.
Aggressive Growth Portfolio

5 of 8

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Not a member? Sign up here for $25 a month.