CrowdStrike (CRWD) is Seeing Demand for its Next-Gen Protection for AI Agents

Stock (Symbol)

CrowdStrike (CRWD)

Stock Price

$490

Sector
Technology
Data is as of
October 3, 2025
Expected to Report
November 24
Company Description
CrowdStrike provides cloud-delivered solutions for endpoint and cloud workload protection via a software-as-a-service (SaaS) subscription-based model.

The Company offers Falcon platform in a SaaS subscription-based model, which delivers integrated, technologies that deliver protection and performance, while reducing customer complexity.

The Company’s Falcon platform leverages a single lightweight-agent architecture with integrated cloud modules spanning multiple security markets, including corporate workload security, managed security services, security and vulnerability management, information technology (IT) operations management, threat intelligence services, identity protection and log management.

It also offers approximately 22 cloud modules on its Falcon platform, which include Falcon Prevent, Falcon Insight, Falcon Device Control, Falcon Firewall Management, Falcon XDR, Falcon Discover, Falcon Spotlight and others. Source: Refinitiv

Sharek’s Take
David SharekIn last quarter’s earnings call, CrowdStrike (CRWD) saw strong growth in its identity security business as companies deal with new risks from AI. The main risk is cyberhacks with AI agents. Management stated demand is rising sharply as more AI systems are acting like users (agentic identities or AI-driven accounts and systems) and enter the workplace, creating new risks of misuse and breaches. To handle this agentic identities, CrowdStrike launched its Next-Gen Identity Protection, which now protects both people and AI systems. Including Falcon Shield, the company’s Next-Gen Identity Protection business grew 21% year-over-year, as more customers look to reliable ways to secure their data. The company recently introduced a new Privileged Access Management (PAM) tool to replace old, expensive systems helping companies cut costs and make their security setup easier. Together, these new tools highlight how CrowdStrike is becoming a key player in protecting identities in the AI era.

CrowdStrike is one of the world’s largest cybersecurity companies, serving 556 of the Global 2000, 271 of the Fortune 500, and 15 of the top US banks as of January 21, 2023. The company provides crowd-sourced security, which is software that learns from cyberattacks. The company has a threat intel platform that is spying on customer traffic. When one customer gets hit by an attempted cyberattack, CRWD sees this first attack and can strike the threat for all its customers. CRWD is about endpoint protection for PCs, laptops, iPads, and mobile phones. This is defending the hardware at the end of the internet, like when Norton became famous with PC protection. On the other hand, Zscaler protects the traffic that flows. Crowdstrike is #1 in endpoint market share, ahead of Microsoft (source: Canalys). Charlotte AI is cybersecurity for AI agents. It is an intelligent assistant tha helps users quickly understand and respond to cyber threats by using advanced security data, making it easier for cybersecurity teams to protect systems without needing deep technical skills. Charlotte AI increases CrowdStrike’s total addressable market each and every day, as its a new product.

CRWD’s products are modules that can be packaged or bought separately. As of last qtr, the company had 28 modules, including:

  • Falcon Prevent, a next-generation antivirus
  • Falcon X for threat intelligence, Falcon X Recon for situational awareness of dark web threats, and Falcon X Recon+ for simplified process of hunting and mitigating external threats to brands, employees, and data
  • Falcon Complete for GovCloud, a cloud-native managed detection and response for the government sector
  • Falcon Device Control for USBs
  • Falcon Firewall Management for host firewall control
  • Falcon Insight for endpoint protection & response
  • Falcon Overwatch for threat-hunting
  • Falcon Horizon for protecting management of cloud security posture
  • Falcon Forensics that automates the analysis for incident response investigations
  • Falcon Identity Threat Protection Complete
  • Falcon Go for small and medium-sized businesses
  • Falcon Flex is a subscription model where companies can pay for a set of cybersecurity modules and have the ability to swap one module for another during contract period.

CrowdStrike is one of the fastest-growing publicly traded companies with great growth opportunities ahead. CRWD was the second fastest cloud-native software as a service company (SaaS) to reach over $2 billion in ARR, behind only Zoom (ZI). And last year the company did $4 billion in annual revenue, keeping the company on pace for $10 billion a year in 2029. CRWD is part of the Growth Portfolio. The stock has been so hot lately that it seems overvalued.

One Year Chart
Quarterly profit growth has simmered down due to CRWD giving customer discounts or incentives after an update took down some computer systems. Investors don’t seem to mind as the stock is around All-Time highs.

The P/E is high at 133. The P/E was 140 last quarter. I value CRWD on a price-to-revenue basis, my valuation analysis is below.

The Est. LTG of 17% is up from 14% last qtr. But revenue increased 21% last qtr and in normal conditions I feel that should convert into 25% profit growth. I feel CRWD is a 25% profit grower.

Notice CRWD’s Annual Profits used to climb briskly.

Earnings Table
Last qtr, CrowdStrike posted -11% profit growth and beat expectations of -20%. Revenue increased 21% and beat analyst’s expectations of 19%. Operating margin was 22% compared to 25% a year ago.

  • Last qtr, CrowdStrike crossed 1,000 Falcon Flex customers, adding more than 220 new Flex customers, representing more than $1 million of ending Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR). The company also continue to see increase in platform adoption. Utilization of Flex contracts is more than 75% across the Flex customer base.
  • More than 100 customers have already re-Flexed (It is when a customer who initially adopted a Falcon flex contract.)
  • Next-Gen Identity, and Next-Gen SIEM platform solutions are now more than $1.56 billion in ending ARR, growing more than 40% year over year.
  • CRWD saw deep platform adoptions, with 48% of subscription customers using 6 or more module, 33% using 7 or more modules, and 23% using eight or more modules.

Annual Profit Estimates increased this quarter. For 2025, management expects revenue to grow ~21%.

Qtrly Profit Estimates are 1%, 5%, 44%, and 24% profit growth for the next 4 qtrs. Profit growth looks to be coming back in a big way, but keep in mind comparisons from the past year should be easy. Analysts expect revenue to grow 20% next qtr.

Fair Value
I price CRWD stock on a multiple of annual revenue estimates. This qtr the stock is $490 a share, and sells for 26x 2025 revenue estimates. My Fair Value is 20x revenue estimates.

Current:
26 x $4.8 billion in sales = $123 bill market cap
$123 bill / 250 million shares = $492

2025 Est:
20 x $4.8 billion in sales = $96 bill market cap
$96 bill / 250 million shares = $381
Upside/Downside: -22%

2026 Est:
20 x $5.8 billion in sales = $117 bill market cap
$117 bill / 250 million shares = $465
Upside/Downside: -5%

Bottom Line
CrowdStrike (CRWD) stock has had a volatile history. When I look back to my CRWD 2021 Q3 research report when the shares were $271, the stock sold for 43x 2021 revenue estimates. In retrospect, that was too high. Then in 2023 Q2 it sold for 11x revenue, which was too low. I think 20x revenue is just right.

CrowdStrike is one of the top cybersecurity companies. But its stock is a little lofty as tech stocks are hot this year.

CRWD ranks 28th in the Growth Portfolio Power Rankings.

Power Rankings
Growth Stock Portfolio

28 of 32

Aggressive Growth Portfolio

N/A

Conservative Stock Portfolio

N/A

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