Nebius (NBIS) is a Full-Stack AI Cloud Platform With a Stock That’s Been Soaring

Stock (Symbol)

Nebius (NBIS)

Stock Price

$113

Sector
Technology
Data is as of
October 18
Expected to Report
October 29
Company Description
Nebius Group NV is a Netherlands-based infrastructure company operating in the technology industry.

The Company is engaged in developing a portfolio of artificial intelligence-related technology assets.

It is involved in creating an artificial intelligence-centric player to integrate the essential elements of artificial intelligence development with infrastructure, data and advisory globally.

It offers products and services such as a cloud platform for artificial intelligence-related workloads, development team services for autonomous vehicles, development of generative artificial intelligence.

Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure to service the growth of the global AI industry, including GPU clusters, cloud platforms and tools and services for developers.

Company is developing three other businesses that operate under their own brands: Toloka AI, TripleTen and Avride. Source: Refinitiv

Sharek’s Take
David Sharek Nebius (NBIS) stock has had a fantastic run higher as investors realize the value in this AI company. I just bought NBIS for clients back in July and the stock has already doubled in price as AI stocks have been hot. Nebius launched its AI Cloud V3 last qtr, introducing new infrastructure and software upgrades designed to improve performance and reliability. The updated platform focuses on faster processing, better scheduling efficiency, and greater flexibility for customers managing large-scale AI workloads. Built with AI-native architecture, it combines the power of infrastructure-as-a-Service (SaaS) with the speed of Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS), helping users scale complex applications easily. Nebius also got top results in MLPerf Training v5.0 tests, which measure how fast and efficiently AI systems can train models. The tests showed that Nebius doubled its speed when doubling computing power, which is a clear sign of how strong its system is. These upgrades are helping Nebius raise the bar for AI cloud performance and strengthen its position as a leader in advanced AI computing.

Nebius is a cloud company built for AI. The company gives developers and companies everything they need to build, train, and run AI models.This includes powerful servers, storage, tools, and applications. Everything is designed to be fast, efficient, and easy to scale. The company is based in the Netherlands with engineering hubs in Finland, Serbia, and Israel. NVIDIA has a partnership with Nebius, giving the company early access to its Blackwell GPUs. Nebius was the 1st company to offer Blackwell in Europe. The Nebius AI Cloud, launched in late 2024, uses NVIDIA GPUs and advanced networking to handle heavy AI workloads. It runs faster, uses less energy, and makes it easy to scale up or down. Developers can work through a user-friendly interface or API. Nebius AI Studio, launched in 2024, makes it easy to run AI models right away. It offers access to open-source models and helps teams build AI apps without needing large engineering teams.

Nebius’s core platform includes five layers:

  1. Data Centers: Three deployment models, Greenfield, Build-to-suit, and Co-location. Ensure global coverage with high energy efficiency and low latency.
  2. Hardware: Nebius designs its own servers and racks to handle high temperatures, cut cooling costs, and speed up maintenance. Over 30,000 NVIDIA GPUs are deployed globally, with Blackwell GPUs arriving in 2025.
  3. Compute Infrastructure: Includes both GPU and CPU instances. GPU clusters are connected with NVIDIA InfiniBand for high-speed, low-latency performance.
  4. Cloud Platform: Handles compute, storage, and workload orchestration using Kubernetes, SLURM, and Nebius’s own Soperator. Works through UI or API.
  5. AI Services and Studio: Offers tools for data prep, training, and deployment. AI Studio lets users run open-source models quickly and cost-effectively.

Other business segments:

  1. Avride – Autonomous Driving: Builds self-driving systems for cars and delivery robots. Partners include Uber, Grubhub, Rakuten, and Hyundai. Avride operates in the US, Europe, Israel, South Korea, and Japan.
  2. Toloka – AI Data Provider: Delivers high-quality training data for AI developers. Combines human experts with automation to serve research labs, startups, and Fortune 500 companies. Offers tools for red-teaming, reasoning evaluation, and data creation.
  3. TripleTen – Tech Reskilling Platform: Helps people switch to tech careers. Offers boot camps in software engineering, data science, and cybersecurity. Named top US coding bootcamp by Fortune in 2024. Focused on students in the US and Latin America.

Nebius is growing rapidly. The company did $118 million in revenue in 2024, and is expected to do $584 million this year, then $1.9 billion next year. The Estimated Long-Term Growth Rate (Est. LTG) of 82% is excellent. But the company isn’t making profits yet, so its tough to get a fair valuation on where the stock should be. NBIS is part of the Growth Portfolio and Aggressive Growth Portfolio.

One Year Chart
NBIS stock followed through on last qtr’s cup-and-handle pattern, breaking out strongly and climbing from around $50 to above $125. The big move was September 9 when the stock soared from $64 to $96 after it announced a $17.4 billion to $19.4 billion to provide AI infrastructure to Microsoft, with the deal expected to run through 2031 (5 years?).

The Est. LTG is 82%, same as last qtr. Note that’s an expected profit growth rate. But there are no profits yet.

There’s no P/E as the company is losing money. No profits along the bottom either.

Earnings Table
Last qtr, NBIS reported profits of -$0.38 in Earnings Per Share (EPS). Revenue increased 625% year-over-year, beating the analyst estimates of 273%. Revenue was driven by the core AI infrastructure business and solid execution from Tripleten. Annualized run-rate increased 438% year over year.

  • Last qtr, NBIS remained a top neocloud provider for native AI tech startups, such as HeyGen, Lightning.AI, Photoroom, and many others.
  • NBIS continued to make strong progress with its core base of AI native tech startups, and also started to add new enterprise logos like Cloudflare, Prosus, and Shopify.
  • In Avride, the company expanded robotic delivery use cases across several regions
  • In TripleTen, enrollment rose by around 6,000 new learners.

Annual Profit Estimates increased this qtr. But these figures could be incorrect. Today, Refinitiv shows $-1.20 for 2025, $-0.29 for 2026 and -0.12 for 2027.

Qtrly Profit Estimates are for no profits the next 4 qtrs. Analysts expect revenue of $155 million next qtr vs $43 million a year ago, +258% year-over-year growth.

Fair Value
My Fair Value is 25x annual revenue estimates.  The stock sells for 49x 2025 revenue estimates this qtr:

Current:
49 x $0.58 billion in sales = $28 bill market cap
$28 bill / 251 million shares = $113

2025 Fair Value:
25 x $0.58 billion in sales = $14 bill market cap
$14 bill / 251 million shares = $58
Upside/Downside: -49%

2026 Fair Value:
25 x $1.82 billion in sales = $46 bill market cap
$46 bill / 251 million shares = $181
Upside/Downside: +60%

Bottom Line
Nebius (NBIS) traces its roots back to Yandex, a Russian search engine that was delisted following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In 2024, Yandex sold its Russian assets, renamed itself Nebius, and resumed trading on the NASDAQ.

Nebius could become a big player in AI. But calculating what the stock should sell for is difficult. These Ai datacenters have lots of CapEx with tons of depreciation. It’s hard to guage what profits might be.

NBIS moves from 4th to 2nd in the Growth Portfolio Power Rankings.

NBIS is also part of the Aggressive Growth Portfolio and ranks 2nd in the Power Rankings.

Power Rankings
Growth Stock Portfolio

2 of 32

Aggressive Growth Portfolio

2 of 14

Conservative Stock Portfolio

N/A

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