| Stock (Symbol) | Stock Price | |
Apple (AAPL) |
$673 |
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| Data is as of | Expected to Report | Sector |
August 30, 2012 |
Oct 15 |
Technology |
| Sharek’s Take | ||
Although the new products should be catalysts for sales and profits, the current outlook just got reduced from last quarter. Last quarter wasn’t as good as expected. The blame was placed on people waiting for the new iPhone 5. Maybe that’s true, but maybe the cause is people already have iPhones and don’t NEED to buy new ones. AAPL isn’t in hyper growth mode anymore. |
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| One-Year Chart | ||
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What’s very different this quarter are profit Estimates. Last quarter we were staring at 84% and 48% growth. Now I see 19% and 12% growth. AAPL isn’t as attractive as it was last quarter. |
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| Earnings Table | ||
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AAPL missed estimates by almost a dollar. Still, the market didn’t mind, stock’s up. Annual Profit Estimates fell. This wasn’t a good quarter. AAPL’s fiscal year ends this quarter, so I will use 2013 estimates to calculate a P/E. |
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| Fair Value | ||
I’m taking my Fair Value down from 35 to 25 times earnings — stock’s still worth double than it’s selling for. |
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| Ten-Year Chart | ||
Stock’s doing great in the ten-year view, but a little extended here. Even if profit growth slows to the 20% range, the P/E of only 13 means there’s not much downside. |
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| Power Ranking | Bottom Line | |
Growth Portfolio
1 of 16 |
Apple isn’t as good as it was last quarter, there’s a lot of flaws here. Still the stock is timely and has huge upside. I’m just not smitten with the stock right now.
AAPL is ranked #1 in the 16 stock Growth Portfolio and #2 in the 8 stock Aggressive Growth Portfolio Power Rankings. |
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Aggressive Growth Portfolio
1 of 8 |
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In the last three quarters AAPL’s P/E has gone from
Profits increased 32% last quarter but sales grew only 22%. Sales jumped 59% 2QtrsAgo. Sales usually rise in the June quarter, they didn’t this time. This was the worst sales growth in ten quarters.
I’m taking my Fair Value down from 35 to 25 times earnings — stock’s still worth double than it’s selling for.
Stock’s doing great in the ten-year view, but a little extended here. Even if profit growth slows to the 20% range, the P/E of only 13 means there’s not much downside.