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Everything You Want

Stock (Symbol) Stock Price

Visa (V)

$75

Data is as of Expected to Report Sector

July 31, 2015

Oct 27 – Nov 11

Financial

Sharek’s Take
David SharekVisa (V) is a timely stock right now, and a merger with Visa Europe would boost V’s expected profit growth rate from 18% to 20% per year. The companies are in negotiations now, and I expect the deal to finalize by October, and send shares of V higher. Visa broke out after it reported earnings that beat the street by 15 cents last qtr, but the beat was a one-time thing and estimates didn’t jump, so the headlines were more than the underlying story. Visa has everything you want in a stock. It’s grown profit every year since its IPO in 2008, pays a dividend of around 0.7%, has a top safety rating of 1 from Value Line, and buys back its own stock — which helps during turbulent times like this as management can buy when shares fall, creating stability. This is a buy-and-hold investment that could deliver total returns of 20% per year, and I got us in on a dip at $69 which is just 23x earnings.
One-Year Chart
V_2015_Q3This chart was done around a month ago before the stock market crashed. Still, V wasn’t coming down much even with the Dow dropping 1000 points. That’s strength. Estimates show mid-teens profit growth ahead, and I expect V to come in right around that. 37% growth was likely a one time thing.
Earnings Table
V_2015_Q3_EPSRevenue grew 12% last qtr which is pretty good as foreign exchange hurt this number.
 
V beat by 15 cents due to a one-time tax benefit. It only beat by a penny the prior 2 qtrs.
 
Annual Profit Estimates
 ticked up slightly.
 
Profit growth looks to be in the mid-teens the next few qtrs.
Fair Value
V_2015_Q3_PHVisa has a fantastic business model that allows it to grow profits each year. But recently the P/E got high, so I’m glad we were able to pick up V on a dip. The company has a September fiscal year-end, and I got us in at 23x 2016 estimates.
Ten-Year Chart
V_2015_Q3_10yrWhat’s also nice about Visa is it gives us a Financial stock. Most Financials are slow growth banks, its tough to find growth (safe growth) in this sector. Note the growth rate has slowed over the years.
Power Ranking Bottom Line
Growth Portfolio

15 of 26

Visa has everything investors want. The company grows in the high-teens, management buys back stock as well as paying a dividend, and most importantly this is a safe stock as the business grows consistently.
 
V ranks 15th of 26 stocks in the Growth Portfolio Power Rankings. It doesn’t have lots of upside to its Fair Value so it won’t be added to the Aggressive Growth Portfolio.

Aggressive Growth Portfolio

N/A

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